CV-19 global picture - 6 days later...

From March 24th:
>> The number of CV-19 cases crossed 400,000 on March 24th ... with a six day time to double, global cases could reach 800,000 and deaths 35,000 on March 30th. <<

Now on March 30th, deaths have indeed doubled and cases are up by 84% [Edit: cases reached 800,000 a day later, March 31st].

6 days ago:

And 6 days later, March 30th:

So, in 6 days time, April 5th, will there be almost 1.5 million cases? And 70,000 deaths?

CV-19: Comparing Italy March 7th to UK March 21st

This graph normalises Italy and UK on the dates that they both had 233 deaths. And then proceeds from there. Italy's death rate is, sadly, increasing more rapidly. But why? Two possible reasons:

• Italian cigarette consumption per capita is 80% higher than the UK
• Italy's population is older: median age 45.5 versus 40.5 in the UK

[Italy's total deaths today reached 10,023]

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Italy v UK comparison

CV-19 cases and deaths were more or less identical in Italy on March 7th and in the UK 14 days later. See graph:

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But look whats happens to Italy 14 days later! (March 21st). Deaths are up by a factor of 20 and cases up by a factor of 10. Note the bar for the March 7th deaths at 233 is so small it's barely visible:

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Scary stuff. What will the UK look like on April 4th?

CV-19 cases hits 500,000

March 26th: Up by 100,000 from 2 days ago. Deaths up by almost 5,000.

CV-19 cases hits 400,000

The number of CV-19 cases crossed 400,000 on March 24th. And sadly, the number of cases and deaths increased in Italy again, but to less than record levels. And with a six day time to double, global cases could reach 800,000 and deaths 35,000 on March 30th...

Link: Worldometer

Italy: fall in new CV-19 cases and deaths

For three days in a row. Lockdown takes time to work because of the up-to 14 days needed for symptoms to show. So this is encouraging.

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Link: Worldometers