Friday, 1 May 2020

CV19: UK v Italy - forget the 2 week lag

This week the UK revised its numbers: it's now including care home deaths as well as hospital deaths. I've changed the graph to show total deaths by date, no two week lag. You can see the latest numbers show the UK is catching up with Italy and possibly overtaking it?

(obsolete - see below)




Latest graph with smoothed UK data (in red), Italy in blue:

(click to enlarge)


Data source: Worldometer


Friday, 24 April 2020

CV19: UK v Italy - new graph format

Sadly, the UK seems to be overtaking Italy in CV19 deaths. Albeit with a 2 week time lag. I changed to a bar chart, hopefully easier to see what is going on. UK in blue.

(click to enlarge)
Data source: Worldometer

Saturday, 18 April 2020

CV19: UK still tracking Italy...

One week later and the UK is still tracking Italy (with a 2 week time lag). It is uncanny how close these two lines are (blue line is UK, red line is Italy) ...

(click to enlarge)

Data source: Worldometer

Friday, 10 April 2020

CV-19: Italy v UK again

So, one week since the last report on this and the UK is still tracking Italy (with a 2 week time lag). The graph says it all (blue line is UK, red line is Italy) ...


(click to enlarge)
Source: Worldometer

Wednesday, 8 April 2020

CV-19: times to double

No graphs today, just these stats:
  • global deaths, time to double = 6 days (same as 10 days ago) 
  • global cases, time to double = 8 days (up from 6, 10 days ago) 
These are scary numbers but the increasing time to double for cases is a positive sign.

Italy and Spain both seem to have peaked in new cases and deaths. Let's hope so.

Source: Worldometer

Sunday, 5 April 2020

A hand-painted picture from Italy

A poster made by Sonia's nephews, Emilia 7 and Alberto 12, to hang on
the balcony of their apartment. It means "All shall be well" :)

They are delighted that school is now closed for the remainder of
this (school) year. Hopefully will re-open in September. Their parents
are not so delighted!


(click to enlarge)

Friday, 3 April 2020

CV-19: Comparing Italy to UK again

This graph shows where the UK is at compared to Italy, normalised/offset by a 2 week gap when numbers were similar (March 7th Italy v March 21st UK). The gap seems to be closing, UK is at almost 90% of Italy's numbers. As of today, Italy has 14,681 CV-19 deaths. As my friend John K says, we are two weeks behind Italy...


(click to enlarge)


Data from: Worldometers